In a population with random mating and no migration, most common variants will be at Hardy Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE). The genotype of a variant in HWE with minor allele (\(a\)) with frequency maf will be distributed as follows
prob(AA): \(p = (1 - \text{maf})^2\)
prob(Aa): \(2 \cdot \text{maf} \cdot (1-\text(maf))\)
prob(aa): \(\text{maf}^2\)
In statistical terms, this means that each allele is inherited independently from the father and the mothersuch that the probability of each combination is the product of the frequencies.